Valentin Guigon’s March Madness 2026 Forecast
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Initial Forecast Published

Men’s and Women’s 2026 NCAA Tournament forecasts are live.
Published

March 20, 2026

Pre-tournament forecasts for both the Men’s and Women’s 2026 NCAA Tournament tracks are now published.

  • Men’s forecast: probabilistic bracket simulation across 10,000 paths, anchored on the FM-03 logistic regression model family.
  • Women’s forecast: probabilistic bracket simulation across 10,000 paths, anchored on the W-LEG-FM-01 model family.

See Men and Women for the interactive reports, and Data for data overview and feature summaries.


Tournament-day result integration and forecast revisions will be posted here as the tournament progresses.

 

Valentin Guigon’s March Madness 2026 Forecast | Updated 2026-03-22